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**12 ET TIP OFF** BREAKFAST CLUB (PERFECT 5-0 L5 CBB TOTALS!)

**12 ET TIP OFF** BREAKFAST CLUB (PERFECT 5-0 L5 CBB TOTALS!)

Creighton vs. St. John's, 03/01/2020 12:00 EDT, Score: 71 - 91

Total: -110/+154 Under

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

I'm playing on Creighton/St. John's UNDER the total. When these teams met earlier, we were dealing with an O/U line in the high 140s. This afternoon's number is higher, which I feel is providing us with very fair line value. Note that Creighton has seen the UNDER go 5-3 when playing a game with an O/U line in the 150s while St. John's has seen the UNDER go 5-1, when playing with an O/U line in the 150s. Also, despite the previous game finishing above the total, the UNDER is still an extremely profitable 30-12 the past 42 times that St. John's was getting points. That includes a 5-1 UNDER mark when the Red Storm were home underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. When Mustapha Heron went down, the already depleted backcourt took another hit. When Creighton visited here last season, the game stayed below the total by double-digits. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than most will be expecting.


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