Stephen Nover's Saturday Destroyer - 67% NHL Run!

Stephen Nover's Saturday Destroyer - 67% NHL Run!

New Jersey vs. Montreal, 11/16/2019 19:00 EDT, Score: 4 - 3

Total: -118/+6½ Under

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Loss

Early activity in the marketplace has been on the Over. I disagree. The total has now reached the point where there is value on the Under - and I'm getting involved. 
Both teams played on Friday and each won. The Canadiens had a highly-satisfying, 5-2, road win against the Capitals in a physical matchup. The Devils held off the Penguins, 2-1. 

That's the way things go for the Devils. They are offensively-challenged this season tied for the fewest goals in the NHL. New Jersey has scored only 10 goals in its last six games. They have failed to score more than two goals during any of those past six games. 
Montreal is likely to go with backup goalie Keith Kinkaid instead of Carey Price. The Nets could stick with hot goalie MacKenzie Blackwood. Perhaps that's why early money to the Over. But I'm fine with Kinkaid in net. He certainly knows the Devils well having played for them for six seasons. 
Blackwood has been a revelation in net. He faced the Canadiens last Feb. 2 stopping 37 shots in a 3-2 New Jersey victory.
I don't expect a fast tempo either in this matchup with both teams having played tough games last night. 

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