San Francisco vs. Philadelphia, 08/01/2019 13:05 EDT, Score: 2 - 10

Money Line: -140 Philadelphia

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Win

8* Philadelphia (1:05 ET): It shouldn't be much of a surprise which side I'm taking in this rubber match as I've been very vocal in recent weeks about how fraudulent the Giants' second half of the season has been. Give them credit for winning 5-1 yesterday, though that was their first win by more than one run since beating Colorado 11-8 on July 17th. That's a two week span. In between, all seven Giants' wins were of the one-run variety, five of them coming in extra innings. How fortunate is that!? Despite being two games over .500, San Francisco has still been outscored on the year by 43 runs, making them massive overachievers in terms of their won-loss record. As I did Tuesday, back the Phillies this afternoon.

The Phillies took the series opener 4-2 before losing 5-1 yday. I had the Under last night, which was my 10* Total of the Month and the Phils were my 10* Game of the Month on Tuesday. So I've been pretty "plugged into" this series. For this rubber match, Philly would seem to have a considerable edge on the mound w/ Jake Arrieta pitching. While he stumbled in a 9-2 loss to the Braves last weekend, Arrieta had looked good in each of his previous two starts. The Giants offense, while better on the road, still ranks 27th in MLB in runs scored, 28th in batting average and 28th in OPS. The Phillies are also a strong 23-13 in day games this season.

Going here for the Giants will be Dereck Rodriguez, an overnight change from originally scheduled starter Shaun Anderson. Rodriguez has been used sparingly in the starter's role, making only one since May 10th. It was back on July 15th and an impressive showing as he allowed just one run in five innings at Coors Field. But I still wouldn't read too much into that. He'd really struggled his three times starting previous to that, giving up 18 runs in 13 IP. Perhaps I'm being stubborn, but I'll continue to fade the Giants after they overachieved greatly in July. 8* Philadelphia

« Back