Kansas City vs. Texas, 06/01/2019 16:05 EDT, Score: 2 - 6

Total: -112/+10½ Over

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Loss

10* Over Royals/Rangers (4:05 ET): Texas is scoring runs in abundance this season w/ only Minnesota (best record in the league) averaging more. But the Rangers also give up their fair share too, allowing 5.3 rpg. The first two games of this series w/ the lowly Royals have both stayed Under, but I think this one bucks that trend. The Rangers' offense gets its shot at Homer Bailey, who has really struggled so far this season. Bailey has been particularly bad of late w/ a 9.58 ERA and 2.13 WHIP his L3 starts. He figures to really struggle here in Arlington. Take the Over.

Now Bailey did allow just one run and three hits in 4 1/3 IP his last time out. But that should just serve to illustrate how bad he'd been in the previous two starts. One of them was against Texas and Bailey lasted just 4 1/3 while giving up six runs. Kansas City ended up losing that game 16-1! Now scoring might very well be more evenly distributed in this one, but still expect Texas to score its fair share. They average nearly a full 6.0 rpg at home this year.

I actually happen to think the Royals are better than their record. But they've still allowed the 4th most runs in all of baseball. Just as was the case on May 16th, Bailey will be opposed by Lance Lynn here. Lynn is coming off B2B outstanding outings (21 K's in 13 IP) , but both were against Seattle, who is slumping. He also pitched well in that aforementioned game vs. Bailey, allowing just one run in 7 IP. But Lynn still has poor numbers at home this year (5.92 ERA, 1.602 WHIP), the Rangers' bullpen isn't very good and overall the team is giving up 5.3 rpg this year. They've allowed almost as many runs this season as KC has. Take my word for it - this is going to be a high-scoring game. 10* Over Royals/Rangers

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