Stephen Nover's Day Game Crusher - 90% Totals Run
NY Yankees vs. Arizona,
05/01/2019 15:40 EDT,
Score: 2 - 3
Total: -112/+8½ Under
First off, the roof is going to be closed at Chase Field for this game. That's a big plus for the Under.
Second, the Yankees are pitching Masahiro Tanaka, who is pitching well this season yielding one earned run in four of his six starts. Arizona is averaging three runs during its last three games. The Yankees have their top arms in their bullpen available.
Arizona is pitching Merrill Kelly, who has been up and down. But he has a 3.09 ERA in the day and this is an afternoon game. Kelly gets to go against a depleted Yankee lineup missing Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, Clint Frazier, Miguel Andujar and now likley DJ LeMahieu.
The Yankees have never faced Kelly, which gives Kelly an edge. Likewise, the Diamondbacks haven't ever gone up against Tanaka.