Utah is rested and off a blowout win versus Sacramento while Indiana is off a hard-fought tight win at Denver last night. So the Pacers are playing without rest and in the 2nd night of a back to back again dealing with a high-altitude game. The Jazz have the home court edge and rest edge. Adding to the value here is big-time motivation for Utah. The Jazz have lost 3 straight games against the Pacers - including earlier this season at Indiana - and the average margin of defeat has been 26.3 points. Per the simulation report, the home team gets big-time payback here. Play UTAH

Last night's Spurs game was on pace for an over with consistent scoring in the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd quarters. Then, it was has been a definite rarity this season, San Antonio's defense finally stepped in the fourth quarter and the game ended up staying under the O/U. The Spurs, off that battle for the win against the Heat, are unlikely to be able to repeat that defensive effort on the road. San Antonio has been a very inconsistent team this season. At the same time, Phoenix is off a big upset win at Boston Saturday and, as a result, is also likely to fall flat on the defensive end here. Spurs O/U is 13-4 this season in games against teams with a losing record. Suns O/U is 10-4 (including 3-1 this season) when off 2 or more consecutive wins. Phoenix O/U is 5-0 this season when playing with revenge from a tight loss of 3 or less points. The Suns lost to the Spurs by just 2 points last month. Play OVER

Baylor is off a very fortunate cover against Oklahoma State Saturday. Now the Bears, by virtue of playing at home, are laying an even larger number against Oklahoma Monday. Per the simulation report, it is too much. The Sooners are 9-3 ATS as a road dog in a range of 9.5 to 12 points. Also, OU is 4-0 ATS in a road game in which the O/U is in a range of 135 to 139.5 points. Baylor is 4-8 ATS in a home game in which the O/U is in a range of 135 to 139.5 points. Play OKLAHOMA

UCLA home games O/U: 6-1 last 7. Cal got blasted by USC and allowed 88 points to Trojans in most recent game. Golden Bears have allowed 72 points per game in their last 7 games. The Bruins have allowed 74 points or more in 6 of their past 7 games. UCLA has averaged 86.2 points per game in its last 5 games against California. The last 6 meetings between these teams have featured 5 which totaled 138 points or more. With this O/U dropping below the 130 mark, as of late afternoon Saturday, great value on this O/U per the simulation report. Play OVER

The O/U is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these teams. Pacers O/U is 6-2 in their last 8 games. Specific to road games, Indiana's O/U is 4-2 in their last 6 games. About those series meetings one of the few unders just missed going over the total by a bucket. That is another reason there is so much value with the low O/U set for this game - 211 as of late afternoon Saturday. Denver's O/U is 5-2 in games against Eastern Conference foes. Overall, the Nuggets O/U is 12-6 in their past 18 games. With both teams hot right now, there is plenty of confidence on the offensive end of the floor for these shooters. Nuggets injuries helping to keep O/U lower than it should be per the simulation report. Play OVER

The Pacers have been hot but the Nuggets aren't getting enough credit here. Indiana is only 10-10 SU on the road this season. Denver is 17-5 SU in home games this season. Also, the Nuggets enter this game on a 15-4 SU run. Denver has some injuries but this is being over-emphasized by the betting markets. The odds makers knew about the injuries when they set the line at 3.5 but now it is already down to a 1.5 as of late afternoon Saturday. That means value with this Sunday match-up. Play DENVER

Packers have won 14 of 17 games this season and one of the few losses was their most embarrassing one too and that was at San Francisco. Revenge time here. Green Bay will take advantage of a 49ers team that has cooled off some since that Packers visit to the Bay Area. San Francisco is 4-2 in their last 6 games SU but only 1 of the 4 wins came by more than 5 points. In other words, if you had laid 7.5 points on the 49ers in each of their past 6 games you would be 1-5 ATS. Per the simulation report, another non-covering win is the likely result here for the 49ers. Play GREEN BAY

Brutally cold temperatures forecast for this game which could limit the Chiefs passing game. That will make the Titans powerful ground game an even more important factor in this one. As a result, the road dog grinds out the clock on this one and stays within one possession throughout. With a tighter game and a bit of a grinder in the forecast, the result on the total should be an under. Tennessee O/U is 0-5 this season after allowing 14 points or less last game. Kansas City O/U is 1-4 when they are playing with revenge from a tight loss (3 or less points) in their most recent meeting. Titans beat Chiefs by 3 points earlier this season. Play UNDER

Both teams red hot SU and ATS but value with the +7.5 here with Tennessee. The Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 visits to Kansas City. Brutally cold temperatures forecast for this game which could limit the Chiefs passing game. That will make the Titans powerful ground game an even more important factor in this one. As a result, the road dog grinds out the clock on this one and stays within one possession throughout. Titans are 10-4 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Chiefs are 4-14 ATS in playoff games. Play TENNESSEE

Both teams off tight losses and the Jazz defeat came in OT on Thursday plus the Kings have been off since Wednesday. That means fresh legs on defense and extra intensity too since each is off a loss. Kings O/U is 2-7 this season after a game in which they scored 115 points or more. Jazz O/U is 1-4 this season when playing with revenge from a game they lost as a road favorite. Play UNDER