Hyun-Jin Ryu has been strong this season for the Dodgers but his ERA is more than 2 runs higher on the road compared to at home. The Red Sox are one of the top hitting teams in the majors when at Fenway Park. Boston is starting David Price and his ERA is about 2.5 runs higher in night games than in day games. The Dodgers have familiarity with him from last year's World Series too. Play OVER

The Phillies blew a 3-0 lead and eventually lost on a 2-run bomb in the top of the 9th with 2 outs last night. Philadelphia will respond here behind fierce competitor Jake Arrieta. The veteran has had the Nationals number this season. Additionally, he is opposed by Washington's Anibal Sanchez. The right-hander's team record is 2-12 the last 14 times he has pitched at Philadelphia. Per the simulation report, the home dominance continues here. Play PHILADELPHIA

Ross Stripling starts for Dodgers and has not completed 5 innings in any of his 3 starts this season. He is only in the rotation because of replacing Rich Hill. In each of his last two starts Stripling gave up 4 runs in each outing. Chris Sale starts for Red Sox and he was reached for 5 runs in each of his last two starts before the All Star break. Boston entered the break with an O/U mark of 11-4 L15 games. Sale allowed 3 earned runs in 4 innings in his most recent start (World Series last year) against LA. Per the simulation report, more rough times expected here as both starters continue trending the wrong direction. Play OVER

Blue Jays Clayton Richard is having a rough season and is also 1-3 with a 7.23 ERA in his day game starts this season. This is an early game Saturday and Toronto will be out for revenge after the Yankees JA Happ shut them down last month. Happ, overall, has struggled this season. The struggles include a 6.19 ERA in his 6 day game starts and a 6.29 ERA in his 9 home starts. The O/U at 11.5 is certainly a big number but all signs point to both of these pitchers getting lit up. These teams entered this series with 8 of the last 12 meetings having resulted in an over. Per the simulation report, another high-scoring battle is to be expected. Saturday. Play OVER

Ivan Nova starts for White Sox. Mike Fiers starts for A's. Chicago scored 5 or more runs in 4 of 6 road games prior to the All Star break. White Sox averaged scoring 5.4 runs per game in last 15 games against AL opponents. Oakland averaged scoring 6.2 runs per game in last 9 games prior to the All Star break. Nova has a 5.58 ERA on the season and has had some good fortune in recent starts. Nova has been hit harder recently than what his stats from last few starts indicate. Fiers allowed 20 hits in 17 innings against the White Sox last season and was fortunate the damage wasn't worse. Per the simulation report both starters will get hit hard in this one and the runs will be commensurate with the hits! Play OVER

Boston's Eduardo Rodriguez is 3-1 in his 8 home starts. Rodriguez is 8-2 in his 14 night starts. Since late May, Rodriguez has a strong 3.75 ERA. The Dodgers Kenta Maeda has been exceptional at home this season but faltered on the road. Maeda has a 5.52 ERA in his 9 road starts this season. Maeda is also much more susceptible to left-handed hitters this has been the case throughout his career. The Boston lineup, last time they faced a right-hand pitcher, was stacked with 5 left-handed bats and a switch-hitter. Maeda will have his hands full on the road tonight and Rodriguez continues his strong work when at Fenway Park (he is a different pitcher there). Per the above as well as the simulation report, play BOSTON

Frambar Valdez starts for Astros. O/U is 2-0-1 in his last 3 starts. Valdez has 9.49 ERA in those 3 starts. Lance Lynn starts for Rangers. O/U is 2-0 in his last two home starts. Lynn's last 2 decisions against Houston were both losses. Lynn gave up 3 homers against Astros in May and was lucky all 3 were solo home runs. The O/U is 5-2 this season when Houston is on the road and the O/U is 10 or 10.5 runs. The O/U is 16-7 this season when the Rangers enter a game after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Per the above as well as the simulation report, play OVER

Entering Saturday's game, the Padres had scored an average of just 3 runs in their 6 prior games. The Dodgers had scored an average of only 3 runs in their 3 prior games against the Padres. Los Angeles starter Ross Stripling has been strong this season and has a 3.45 ERA on the campaign. The Padres Joey Lucchesi has continued to develop his repertoire of pitches this season and had a great May and June in terms of ERA and opponents batting average. This one is likely to be dominated by the pitchers. The Dodgers O/U is 2-5-1 in Stripling's 8 starts this season. Per the simulation report, the O/U will move to 0-3 the last 3 times Lucchesi has made a divisional start. Play UNDER

The Nationals Patrick Corbin is off back to back strong outings but those were against the league-worst Marlins. Prior to this, Corbin allowed 21 runs (17 earned) in 19 and 2/3 innings over his 4 prior starts. The Royals start Jakob Junis in this one and the KC right-hander is 4-8 with a 5.53 ERA this season with opponents hitting .290 against him. Kansas City got shutout yesterday and should bounce back Sunday but the Nationals will pound Junis. Also, both bullpens are weak in this match-up. Play OVER

The Dodgers Kenta Maeda is 5-1 with a 2.05 ERA in 7 home starts this season. The Padres Chris Paddack has a 3.05 ERA this season and has held opponents to a .197 batting average. Entering Friday's game, San Diego had averaged scoring only 3 runs per game in their past 5 games. Los Angeles, entering Friday's game, had played 19 homes with an O/U of 8 or 8.5 runs this season and only 7 of the 19 resulted in an over. Per the above as well as the simulation report, a pitchers duel is on tap here. Play UNDER