Troy QB Kaleb Barker has been upgraded to probable for this game and the Trojans are anxious to bounce back after a 42-10 loss to Missouri. Prior to facing an SEC team and losing to the Tigers, the Trojans offense was rolling along averaging more than 500 yards and 40 points per game. Troy now takes on a weak South Alabama offense which, not including games against non-FBS level teams, is averaging less than 300 yards and 14 points per game. The Jaguars are off a double OT loss in their last game and their offense struggled badly again. South Alabama has covered just 4 of its last 13 conference road games. Play TROY

Carolina was rolling along enjoying a 5-0 undefeated start to the season and then lost at home 3-2 to Columbus on Saturday. The Hurricanes have since had a couple days off to think about it too! That means a focused and hungry Canes team will take to the ice Tuesday at Los Angeles and that is bad news for a struggling Kings team. LA has allowed 5.2 goals per game in its first 9 games! The Hurricanes are allowing only 2.7 goals per game this season. Per the simulation report, play in the defensive zone as well as goalie play will be the difference in this one. That makes the Hurricanes well worth their mid-range price here. Play CAROLINA

The Nationals look for the sweep with a victory Tuesday at home. Washington is off a dominating 8-1 win yesterday after also taking both games at St Louis to open up this series. The Cardinals are turning to Dakota Hudson (just turned 25 last month) in a critical spot here as this is an elimination game. Even though only 1 of the 4 runs was earned, Hudson certainly was not very sharp in his post-season outing in NLDS action. He lasted only 4.2 innings in that start and that is the only post-season appearance of his career. Patrick Corbin, a 30-year old with 7 years of MLB experience holds the edge here. His post-season numbers were impacted by one bad appearance out of the pen in these playoffs. In his lone start of the post-season Corbin allowed only 2 runs (1 earned) while striking out 9 in 6 innings. Play WASHINGTON

Yankees start Luis Severino and he does not have a good post-season history. Even including a rare good outing in this year's playoffs, Severino has a 5.33 ERA in 7 career post-season starts. Astros start Gerrit Cole in this one and he has been dominant all year including the post-season (again). He went 20-5 with a 2.50 ERA in the regular season. In 7 career post-season appearances he has a 2.62 ERA and has been unreal in these playoffs with 25 strikeouts in 15.2 innings! Huge pitching edge and, per the simulation report, the Astros are well worth the mid-range money line price in this game. Play HOUSTON

This line was up near a 7 and has dropped to near a 3 and this is offering great line value on the Packers. The Lions are off a bye week which followed their first SU loss of the season. That defeat came at the hands of the Chiefs. Prior to facing a tough KC team, Detroit was undefeated but their first 3 games were against teams that enter this week's action with a 6-8-1 record on the season. The Packers schedule has been much tougher and, per the simulation report, that serves battle-tested Green Bay very well in this one. The Packers did face the struggling Broncos but their other 4 games all came against teams with a winning record and all teams that are threats to be in the playoffs against this season (Cowboys, Eagles, Vikings, Bears). Also, Green Bay has revenge here as they have been swept by Detroit EACH of the past TWO seasons! Payback time here. The Packers are on a 10-3 ATS run overall. Play GREEN BAY

Kansas City off a loss last week and now at home getting no respect from the betting markets as the line has been dropping all week. The Texans are off a big home win over Atlanta but Houston did allow 32 points in that game. The Texans biggest weakness is their pass defense. Who has the #1 passing offense in the NFL? The Chiefs! In other words, take KC and the league's #1 passing attack off a loss and going against a bad pass defense! Per the above as well as the short number posted on this game, play the small home home favorite. Play KANSAS CITY

The Jaguars are off a non-covering loss at Charlotte last week even though Minshew threw for nearly 400 yards! Jacksonville entered that game having covered 3 straight games. Now look for the same thing to happen to New Orleans. The Saints enter this game having covered 3 straight games but now will be handed a non-covering loss as well. New Orleans is off a divisional win and has another tough NFC game on deck at Chicago. Jacksonville off a game against a non-conference foe and the Jaguars have only a win-less Cincinnati team on deck. Strong situational edge for the home team in this one. Per the above as well as the simulation report, play JACKSONVILLE

After Cleveland looked so bad in Monday's loss to the 49ers, the markets are backing Seattle big in this early Sunday game. However, the Seahawks are off that key divisional win over the Rams last week. That was a hard fought 1-point win. Even though Seattle has the rest edge in this match-up, it is a game that start at 10 AM on their body clocks as it goes at 1 PM ET in Cleveland which is 10 AM PT. Browns have been outscored by a margin of 37 points in their two home losses this season so you know how badly they want this game. Cleveland is very hungry to get their first home win of the season and bounce back from the embarrassment of the MNF loss at San Francisco. Per the simulation report, they will do just that here! Play CLEVELAND

The Panthers are on a 3-0 ATS run after winning and covering again last week. Carolina is seeking revenge for a home loss to the Buccaneers last month. Tampa Bay is 2-8 ATS before a bye. The Panthers are 5-1 ATS before a bye week. Carolina will again be without Cam Newton this week but their perfect SU and ATS run has come with Kyle Allen at QB. The trends above combine for a 16-3 (84%) ATS mark in favor of the Panthers. Per the above as well as the simulation report, play CAROLINA

Florida has certainly surprised but this is a tough spot for the Gators. They are off of a big win versus Auburn but gave a huge effort in that one and now go on the road and face a rested LSU team. Even though the Tigers played last week they were so dominant against Utah State that they were able to rest players. LSU has been dominant this season and is on a 6-0 ATS run in games against FBS competition (doesn't include game against FCS school Northwestern State). The Tigers have revenge here from losing to Florida last season. The Gators are 0-2 ATS when away from home this season. LSU, after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games, are on a 3-0 ATS run. This is a combined 11-0 ATS run in favor of the Tigers here. They get their revenge and win huge by more than 2 TDs per the simulation report. Play LSU