The Denver Nuggets have won four on the bounce and clinched a playoff spot with a 114-105 win as a 4-point underdog at Boston Celtics Monday night. Risk for a hangover? I don't think so as the Nuggets are 6-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season and they have had two days to zone in on their new task; defending the top record in the Western Conference. "We said what we wanted to do at the beginning of the season and that's what we did," Nikola Jokic told the Denver Post. "Now we want to do something more."

The Washington Wizards on the other hand took an overtime loss to the Chicago Bulls Wednesday night, their third loss in four games, to fall 5 1/2 games behind eighth-place Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference.

The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on two days rest and I don't see a fatigued Washington side keeping this close enough to cover the spread.

8* play on Denver Nuggets.

The Arizona State Sun Devils look like a solid favorite here in their First Four matchup with the St. John’s Red Storm in Dayton, Ohio Wednesday night.

Arizona State has won six of its last eight, only losing to a surging Oregon team twice including an OT loss in the Pac-12 Tournament semifinals. The Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. They recorded some big wins during the regular season, including victories over Kansas, Utah State, Washington, Mississippi State and Utah State.

Here they'll face a St. John's team that shot just 32.8% from the floor as it fell to Marquette in the second round of its conference tournament and has lost four of its last five games. We can also note that St. John owns the 12th worst offensive rebounding percentage in the nation and is one of the worst defensive squads in this year's Tournament.

Arizona State is out-rebounding opponents by 4.8 a game and should be able to out-muscle this Red Storm team to advance to the next round and face Buffalo in Tulsa, Oklahoma on Friday.

10* play on Arizona State Sun Devils.

The San Antonio Spurs are the hottest team in the NBA and undefeated through nine games since taking an 85-101 loss at Brooklyn on Feb 25. They're 8-1 ATS during that stretch and coming off a solid won over defending NBA-champion Golden State at home on Monday.

Here the Spurs will face a Miami team that has played its best basketball on the road (17-16) and is coming off an upset win at Oklahoma City. Miami is desperate for wins, sitting in the No. 8 spot in the East 1 1/2 games ahead of the Orlando Magic with 12 regular-season games to play, but I think it'll come up short here.

Note that Spurs are one of the best home teams in the league and 18-4 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 26-5 ATS in revenge spots this season, which this certainly is with the Heat winning the last meeting in the series 95-88 back in November.

10* play on San Antonio Spurs.

The Memphis Grizzlies have struggled on the defensive end lately, giving up 130+ points in back-to-back losses at Atlanta and Washington. Four of their last five have gone over the total, and here they'll face an offensive powerhouse in the Houston Rockets who have averaged 119 points through their last two games.

The Rockets are coming off a 121-105 win over Atlanta Tuesday night and over is 6-2 in their last eight games playing on zero days rest.

All-Star guard James Harden has scored at least 20 points in 13 straight games and contributed 31 points and 10 assists against the Hawks while veteran point guard Chris Paul recorded his second consecutive double-double with 13 points and 11 assists.

8* play on OVER.

The fourth-seeded Colorado Buffaloes are a perfect 3-0 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season and 11-4 ATS in all home games.

The Buffs took a loss to top-seeded Washington in the Pac-12 Tournament final but look good to bounce back with a win here as they take on the fifth-seeded Dayton Flyers in the first round of the NIT Tuesday night. Dayton took a 64-55 loss to St. Louis in the Atlantic 10 quarterfinals its last time out. It is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 0-4 ATS in its last four non-conference games.

Colorado usually makes its homecourt advantage count, and I can easily see the Flyers struggling with the altitude at CU Events Center in Boulder.

8* play on Colorado Buffaloes.

Both the Sacramento Kings and the Brooklyn Nets are in desperate need of wins, the former more than the latter though as they enter Tuesday six games behind the Los Angeles Clippers for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They snapped a three-game losing streak (all on the road) with a 129-102 rout of Chicago on Sunday in improve to 15-4 ATS as a favorite on the season.

"Whether we talk about it or not, it feels like every game is a must-win coming out of the (All-Star) break," Sacramento coach Dave Joerger told reporters after the victory. "Just to have a little bit of mental relief is good for us at this point in the season."

The Nets have some margin for error as they are in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. They have however dropped the first three contests of a seven-game road trip and will be facing a Kings team that is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 home games. We can also note that the Kings will be looking to avenge a 123-94 loss at Brooklyn back in January and that they're 23-14 ATS in revenge spots this season.

10* play on Sacramento Kings.

This looks like a great spot to back the NBA-best Milwaukee Bucks as they look to bounce back from a 130-125 loss to the 76ers on Sunday.

"Tough games like this are going to help us in the future moving forward in the playoffs because every game is going to be like tonight," Bucks leading scorer Giannis Antetokounmpo told reporters after the setback. "Hopefully, we learn from it and when we're in the same situation in the future we can react better."

The Bucks are 12-2 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite this season, and here they'll face a Lakers team that is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games overall and took a 124-123 loss to the Knicks last time out. Lebron James will miss the playoffs for the first time since the 2004-05 season and is coming off as rather frustrated with both himself and the rest of the team.

The Bucks won the first meeting of the season 131-120 at LA on March 1 and odds are they'll absolutely destroy this demoralized Lakers team home at Fiserv Forum.

Free pick on Milwaukee Bucks.

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Ten of the Golden State Warriors last 11 games have gone under the total. They will have plenty of reason to slow down the tempo here as well in the second game of a back-to-back situation following a 111-105 loss at San Antonio last night.

They'll face a Minnesota team with nothing to play for and the Wolves have averaged just 103 ppg through their last four games. Point guards Derrick Rose (elbow) and Jeff Teague (foot) have missed the last three games, and Teague has already been ruled out for this contest while Rose is listed as doubtful.

Under is 24-8 in the last 32 meetings between these two teams, and I expect to see a relatively low-scoring affair.

8* play on UNDER.

The Portland Trail Blazers had won three straight prior to a 108-103 loss at San Antonio on Saturday. "I thought it was a really good basketball game," Portland coach Terry Stotts told reporters. "Both teams really defended hard, played hard, had good performances. I thought it was good effort on our part. ... It was disappointing to lose, though."

They are a solid 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.

Here Portland will face a Pacers side that covered the spread in a 102-100 loss at Denver on Saturday, but it is still only 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Blazers will be without starting shooting guard CJ McCollum (knee), but note that they're 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Pacers who haven't won in Portland since 2007.

8* play on Portland Trail Blazers.

The Golden State Warriors fell to Phoenix Suns on March 10 but have bounced back with a pair of wins at Houston and Oklahoma City Thunder while allowing an average of just 96 ppg.

"I think the loss to Phoenix opened our eyes a little bit," Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters. "And I think our guys just felt threatened on the road. We've played two great teams, we've got another one, maybe the hottest team in the league in San Antonio coming up, so anytime they're threatened, I think our guys tend to play better."

Under is 9-1 in the Warriors last 10. and here they'll face a San Antonio team that has won eight straight games and held all but one of those opponents (Milwaukee) to fewer than 105 points. The Spurs lead the league in scoring defense during their winning streak, allowing just 99.8 points per 100 possessions.

The Warriors put a 141-102 beating on San Antonio last month, but you better believe Spurs coach Gregg Popovich will have his team better prepared defensively for this one.

10* play on UNDER.