The marquee pitching matchup of the day pits Max Scherzer against Jacob deGrom. But based on how well they have pitched this season, Luis Castillo versus Zach Davies isn't far behind those two superstars.

Castillo has a 1.90 ERA. The Under has cashed in his last seven road starts. Davies has a 1.54 ERA. The Under is 4-0 during his last four home starts. That's a combined 11-0 Under mark in this situation from the two starters. Both bullpens are above average, too.

The Brewers' offense is much less potent without reigning NL MLVP Christian Yelich, who didn't play on Tuesday due to back spasms. The Reds' lineup could really use Yasiel Puig, who has been out with a shouder injury.

The Bucks didn't play well in Game 3. The result was a 118-112 double overtime road loss to the Raptors.

Expect the Bucks to play much in this Game 4. The oddsmaker expects that. The difference is reflected in Milwaukee opening as a road favorite instead of an underdog as they did in Game 3. The oddsmaker has it right. The Bucks are the side I want going for me.

Milwaukee has by far the better depth. This is huge because the Raptors are gassed especially Kawhi Leonard, who is playing hurt. The Raptors have no shot if Leonard doesn't produce a monster game.

The Bucks have won and covered 10 of their 12 playoff games. It's not a big surprise considering they had the best SU and ATS mark during the regular season, too. Milwaukee also has been great in revenge spots - 12-1 SU, 10-2-1 ATS off a loss.

Injuries and the luck factor turning against them leave the Sharks dead in the water for this Game 6 road matchup against the Blues. I don't see San Jose staying alive by beating St. Louis here. Even if the Sharks are hanging in trailing by just one goal there is the strong possibility of an empty net goal taking place since San Jose is in must-win mode down 3-2 in the series.

The Blues' superior defense and goaltending with star rookie Jordan Binnington has come alive. The Blues have taken control of the series winning the past two games holding the Sharks to just one goal during this span. The Sharks are 3-7 in their past 10 road contests.

San Jose has been the luckiest team in the playoffs. But that luck has run out. The Blues buried the Sharks, 5-0, at San Jose in Game 5. The Sharks have gotten hit hard by injuries with key players captain Joe Pavelski, two-time Norris Trophy winner Erik Karlsson and Tomas Hertl, their second-leading goal scorer next to Pavelski, all missing significant time in Sunday's Game 5 defeat.

Jaden Schwartz has been a monster for the Blues scoring 12 goals during the postseason. Vladimir Tarasenko is stepping up now, too, producing at least one point in five consecutive games.

The Reds have lost 40 of their past 57 road games, including going 9-15 away from home this season. They are 4-7 versus southpaws this season and facing Brewers southpaw Gio Gonzalez at Miller Park.

The Brewers have won 67 percent of their home games this year going 16-8.

Gonzalez is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in four starts this season. Milwaukee is 9-2 in his last 11 starts going back to last season. Gonzalez is 6-3 career-wise versus the Reds with a 2.75 ERA in 12 starts.

The Reds could be without Yasiel Puig, who suffered a shoulder injury on Sunday.

Reds starter Sonny Gray is 0-4 with a 4.30 ERA. Gray has yet to reach the seventh inning this season and is not a good fit pitching at homer-friendly Miller Park.

The A's have won four in a row. But the pitching matchup, price and the way the Indians have started to swing the bats put me on Cleveland.

A's starter Chris Bassitt has a 1.93 ERA. He's not nearly that good. The 30-year-old is due for a regression. The Indians' offense began the year in hibernation. However, the Indians have shown life lately averaging 8.1 runs in their last five games if you discount a 5-1 loss to the Orioles and Dylan Bundy.

Trevor Bauer is off a terrible start. Bauer, though, is an elite pitcher. A give him a huge edge - not reflected in this short lay price - over Bassitt. Bauer may not have to deal with slugger Khris Davis either. Davis is dealing with a hip injury.

Cleveland has won 69 percent of Bauer's past 26 home starts.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is a blazing 22-10-2 on his last 34 premium/free baseball plays and is on 71 percent NBA run. Stephen has a huge Tuesday package going with his top baseball sides play, his NBA Game of the Week and Stanley Cup Puck Line Game of the Month.)

Step to the head of the class if you knew that Mike Minor had the lowest ERA of any lefty starter in the American League. Minor has allowed only five runs in his last four starts and has a 2.61 ERA on the season. He goes deep into games, too, having pitched at least seven innings in five of his last eight starts.

The Under has cashed in 10 of Minor's past 13 home starts.

The Rangers' vulnerable bullpen could get a boost if Shawn Kelley, their most consistent reliever and recently appointed closer, is activated from the injured list. Kelley has been out after having a pair of lymph nodes surgically removed. He threw a simulated game Sunday.

This total is high because Mike Leake is going for Seattle and Globe Life Park is an outstanding hitter's park. Leake has been pitching much better, though, with a 2.29 ERA in his last three starts. Globe Life Park becomes far more of a hitter's park during the muggy summer months. The weather forecast for tonight's game is winds gusting in at 23 mph.

We saw it in Game 3 with the Warriors beating the Trail Blazers by 11 points on Saturday. We're likely to see it here, too, in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The superior team is an underdog on the road yet easily wins straight-up.

Maybe the Raptors can break that mold. I doubt it, though.

Milwaukee was the best point spread team during the regular season. Milwaukee is the best ATS team in the postseason, too, going 9-1 SU and ATS.

The Bucks have outscored the Raptors by 35 points during the last five quarters. What's become clear is the Raptors aren't good enough, nor deep enough, to beat the Bucks. Toronto hasn't solved Milwaukee's offense, nor its defense, averaging 101.5 points in the series, which is 13 points below its season average.

The Bucks have too many weapons to go with with Giannis Antetokounmpo for the Raptors to keep up. Kawhi Leonard doesn't have the bench help, nor the veteran step-up that the Bucks have been providing for Antetokounmpo.

The Diamondbacks' last three victories have been by an average of eight runs. I like Arizona to beat the Giants, enough to lay the run line to get a plus price instead of risk laying heavy juice.

Drew Pomeranz is coming off the injured list to start for the Giants. Pomeranz has been highly inconsistent and isn't likely to go deep into the game, which would put the Giants' vulnerable middle relievers into action.

Lefty Robbie Ray is in great form for the Diamondbacks with a 3-0 mark and 1.98 ERA in his past five starts. His ERA is 1.10 during his last three starts. Arizona is 5-2 versus the Giants in Ray's past seven starts against San Francisco.

The Giants are 5-9 versus lefty starters this season. Word is the Giants will be resting Buster Posey and Brandon Belt. Brandon Crawford may also sit out.

San Francisco has won just 33 percent of its past 43 road games.

This has been a back-and-forth series as expected. That can apply to the total, too. The teams are returning to San Jose here for Game 5. The first two games of the series were at San Jose. There were nine goals scored in Game 1 and six goals scored in Game 2. That's the norm as 68 percent of the Sharks' past 19 games have resulted in six or more goals being produced.

The Sharks are constantly in attack mode. They maybe have the two most offensive-minded blueliners in Brent Burns and Erik Karlsson.

St. Louis is known for its defense and goaltending. The Blues' offense production, though, is underrated. St. Louis is averaging 3.3 goals in its last games. The Blues have scored at least three goals in 75 percent of their last 28 games.

Something is amiss with Mike Foltynewicz, who has an 8.02 ERA and has surrendered eight homers in 21 1/3 innings. He still might not be healthy after missing much of spring training and the first four weeks of the season recovering from elbow soreness. Perhaps his mechanics are off. His velocity is definitely down.


Foltynewicz must deal with a Milwaukee team that has slugged the fourth-most homers in the majors and is trying to avoid a series sweep. The Braves' bullpen hasn't been good so far either.

The Brewers are pitching a hot Brandon Woodruff, who is developing into a reliable starter. Woodruff is 4-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last four starts. The Braves have never faced Woodruff before giving him a surprise element. MIlwaukee is 7-2 in Woodruff's last nine road starts. The Brewers have a deeper bullpen, too.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the hottest baseball 'cappers in North America going 21-8-3 on his last 32 premium/free plays. Stephen has his Run Line Game of the Month heading his Sunday card today. Stephen also is 5-1 on his last six NBA plays and is in action today also in the NBA and NHL, two sports he has dominated through the years. Stephen is going for his sixth winner in his last seven NBA plays.)